Russian strikes on civilian cargo ships in the Black Sea this month hit vessels inside the exclusive economic zones of two NATO members, Romania and Bulgaria, for the first time, according to Czech Television.
Bulgaria has been governed since spring by a cabinet that favors restoring dialogue with Moscow and opposes expanding military aid to Ukraine, per Czech Television.
Experts cited by Czech Television say Moscow deliberately chose Bulgaria to test the alliance's response, judging Sofia to be NATO's weakest link.
Why the EEZ line matters
An exclusive economic zone gives a coastal state resource rights, not territorial-waters status, limiting any claim that strikes there trigger NATO's Article 5 defense clause. Hypothesis: Moscow is exploiting that legal gap, striking close enough to Romanian and Bulgarian waters to pressure the alliance without crossing a line that would force a unified response. Supporting this: the strikes are new this month and have landed specifically in the EEZs of both Black Sea NATO states, per Czech Television. Against this: the source material attributes intent to unnamed experts, not to Moscow, and does not establish a coordinated Russian campaign.
- Whether Sofia's stance on Ukraine military aid shifts after the strikes
- Whether attacks spread to Romania's EEZ or stay concentrated near Bulgaria
- Any NATO consultation or statement short of invoking Article 5