Analysis ✳
Saudi Arabia, India and Australia all doubt their old security guarantees
Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed a pact this year promising to defend each other if attacked.
Analysis
The bigger picture: links, hypotheses, evidence.
Analysis ✳
NATO tracks a summer of drone incidents and cyberattacks, avoids calling it an attack
Researchers, an Italian outlet and Lithuania documented a summer of drone incursions, weapons caches and border crossings on EU soil, plus online attacks on NATO countries run like a competitive game among pro-Russian hackers.
Analysis ✳
Finland kept a secret 10-year Israel defense deal while accusing Israel of genocide
Finland's government secretly extended a defense-cooperation deal with Israel for ten years, through 2034, covering joint weapons research and purchases — even as it has publicly accused Israel of genocide in the Gaza war.
Analysis ✳
Weekly recap — Aug 24, 2026: NATO downs a drone as missile stocks run low and Western allies split among themselves
This week, the West's defenses and alliances were tested from several directions at once, raising questions about how prepared it is for a crisis.
Analysis ✳
Ukraine, US, Australia face weapons production gaps as allies rush fixes
Ukraine's new defense minister faces shortages of shells, stalled weapons contracts, and units lacking armored vehicles to move wounded soldiers.
Analysis ✳
Six months into Iran war, oil prices never spiked as feared
Six months after the war with Iran began, oil prices never hit the $100 mark many expected — markets absorbed the shock and moved on.
Analysis ✳
US scales back South Korea drills as Russia's hybrid war spreads and Iran policy shifts
This month brought three signs that deterrence — the idea that attacking a country will cost more than it's worth — is weakening.
Analysis ✳
Drone incidents in Germany, a warning from France and Latvia, and a Swedish seizure in one week
In one week, four separate incidents added to a pattern of suspected Russian hybrid warfare against European countries.
Analysis ✳
Latvia's leader calls Russian pressure on Europe a war, as attacks widen
Latvia's prime minister said Russia is waging outright war against the West, pointing to a pattern of provocations across Europe.
Analysis ✳
Western weapons factories can't build fast enough for Ukraine's war or China's buildup
Three defense stories this week show Western arms makers can't build weapons fast enough for the wars happening now.
Analysis ✳
NATO Downs a Drone Over Latvia, US Trims a Korea Drill, Europe Warned on Taiwan
In one week, NATO jets shot down an explosive-laden drone that entered Latvia from Belarus, the US scaled back a major annual drill with South Korea, and a former Finnish prime minister warned Europe would react slowly to Chinese pressure on Taiwan, unlike its fast response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, because the EU's decades-old one China policy avoids taking a clear stand on Taiwan.
Analysis ✳
Weekly recap — Aug 17, 2026: War-like crises hit the Gulf, Asia and Europe as decision-making lags behind
Several unrelated crises this week revealed the same problem: governments moving too slowly for fast-changing threats.