Taiwan says China's military moves near island are less predictable

Fact-check index: 38/100 — The core claim matches both headlines, but nearly every analytical claim beyond it (data omissions, semiconductor/shipping context, crisis-management channels, unplanned-encounter risk) is unsupported by the source material, which consists only of two identical headlines with no article body.

• Taiwan's defense ministry says China has intensified 'unpredictable' control of the air and sea around the island — Directly matches both Reuters and Internazionale headlines: "Taiwan says 'unpredictable' China strengthens air and sea control nearby."
• Reported by Reuters and Internazionale — Both outlets are cited and linked, matching the provided source list.
• 'Unpredictable' describes a pattern, not a count — Interpretive framing not found in the source material, which only provides headlines with no body text to confirm this characterization.
• Neither report cites sortie numbers, median-line crossings or new assets — Cannot be confirmed or denied since only headlines were provided, not full article text; this is a claim about absent content in unseen article bodies.
• What's public is Taipei's characterization, not the data behind it — Plausible inference from the headline wording but not explicitly established by the source material available.
• The strait carries heavy shipping and runs beside the island's semiconductor industry — General background claim not contained in or supported by either source headline.
• Any real rise in unscripted Chinese activity raises the odds of an unplanned encounter — Speculative analytical claim with no support in the source material.
• Washington and Beijing have limited military crisis-management channels meant to prevent such encounters — Not mentioned or supported anywhere in the two source headlines.
• Watch for whether the ministry follows with hard figures, how Beijing responds, and whether Washington tests contact lines — Forward-looking editorial speculation, not a factual claim drawn from the cited sources.