Shell's refining margin has surged to a record high as the Middle East conflict upends fuel markets, according to the Wall Street Journal.

West Texas Intermediate crude is pushing toward $89.50 a barrel, with geopolitics and weather both supporting the price, per TradingPedia.

Why it matters: refining margins and crude prices are the two levers that set pump, diesel and jet-fuel costs. When both move up together, the pressure spreads into shipping rates, airfares and consumer prices far beyond the Middle East — turning a regional conflict into a drag on global inflation.