UPDATE — this extends our earlier coverage: How "Hybrid Warfare" Became Everyone's Weapon

The hybrid-warfare campaign that spent the summer hitting cyber networks and political debates jumped onto physical infrastructure on two continents this week. Incidents disrupted European airline and Saudi airport systems, according to Energy Intelligence, while Iran targeted ship-navigation systems on an island belonging to Oman, with the extent of the damage still unclear, per India Shipping News.

Our earlier coverage described hybrid warfare as a deniable toolkit — cyberattacks, disinformation, sabotage — that states used piecemeal, with each incident absorbed as a local irritant.

The Gulf half of that picture did not stand alone: the UN Security Council condemned Houthi attacks against Saudi Arabia and threats to commercial shipping the same week, a reminder that Gulf shipping lanes were already contested before Iran's navigation-system intrusion near Oman.

Italy's defence minister, Guido Crosetto, said Italy sends less aid to Ukraine than Germany and argued for action to "stop the fire before it reaches us," per la Repubblica. Rome's own debate, as Decode39 reports, is shifting from political unity against hybrid threats toward building strategic resilience — a national project, not a coordinated continental one.

Hypothesis: NATO and Gulf governments are each treating their incident as a one-off, when the aviation intrusions, Iran's navigation-system attack and the Houthi shipping threats may be exploiting the same gap. Supporting this: an expert told France 24 that Russia uses "illegal and unethical means" precisely because it knows Europe will not respond in kind — a calculation that lowers the cost for any actor willing to test the same restraint. Against it: Iran's Gulf pressure and the Houthi attacks follow a separate, years-old conflict with Saudi Arabia, and nothing in current reporting ties their timing to the European aviation incidents beyond coincidence.

What to watch: whether the Security Council's language on Houthi shipping threats gets extended to the Oman navigation intrusion, and whether Italy's resilience debate produces policy rather than another ministerial warning.