Andrej Babiš, Czechia's prime minister and ANO leader, keeps saying Ukraine's war needs a diplomatic solution and that someone has to talk to Russia, per Novinky.cz.

According to the same report, Babiš has toughened his tone toward Moscow a few times over the years, after operations by Russian intelligence services targeted Czechia and its allies directly.

Czechia belongs to both the EU and NATO, so its prime minister's framing of Russia is not just domestic talk. A member-state government signaling that Moscow isn't the existential threat others describe can give cover to other Russia-skeptical voices inside a bloc that already struggles to keep unanimous backing for Ukraine aid and sanctions renewals.

HYPOTHESIS: Babiš's Kremlin-ambiguous rhetoric could erode EU/NATO cohesion on Ukraine by giving other unity-skeptic governments political cover. Supporting this: EU sanctions and aid packages generally require unanimity or near-unanimity among member states, so each additional skeptical voice raises the cost of holding the line. Against this: per Novinky.cz, Babiš has hardened his position before specifically in response to Russian hostile actions against Czechia, which points to a pragmatist reacting to events rather than a fixed Kremlin sympathizer.

What to watch: whether Babiš's government backs EU sanctions renewals and NATO consultations on Ukraine in practice, or whether fresh Russian hostile action against Czechia pulls his rhetoric back toward a harder line, per Novinky.cz.