Trump prohlásil příměří s Íránem za mrtvé, hrozí novými údery a trhy se připravují na Hormuz

Index ověření faktů: 88/100 — Nearly all substantive claims match the cited source material, with only the IMF-forecast and dollar safe-haven details relying on headline-only sources and one unspecified plan claim being appropriately hedged.

• Trump declared the Iran ceasefire over after renewed exchanges of fire — Matches El Cronista headline ('Trump says the ceasefire is over after the latest strikes with Iran') and NZZ, which notes both countries' forces trading a new round of blows.
• Trump said the US 'will probably hit Iran hard again tonight' — Direct quote matches The Independent headline verbatim ('we will probably hit Iran hard again tonight').
• Trump described Iran's leadership as 'scum' — NZZ lede states Trump insults Iran's regime as 'Abschaum' (scum); accurate translation and attribution.
• Washington signalled willingness to keep negotiating — NZZ headline explicitly says Trump declared the ceasefire over 'and still wants to keep negotiating' (weiterverhandeln).
• Escalation drove investors toward the US dollar as a safe haven — FXEmpire headline supports the safe-haven-to-dollar flow, but only a headline is provided; the article body itself is not in the source material.
• IMF cut its 2026 global growth forecast citing the Middle East war — Anadolu headline matches exactly ('IMF cuts 2026 global growth forecast as Middle East war weighs on outlook'), but supported only by the headline, not the article text.
• Up to a third of the world's seaborne oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz — RealClearWorld/Oil Price excerpt states 'up to a third of the...' via the Hormuz chokepoint; attribution to Simon Watkins/Oil Price is correct.
• Iran has for decades relied on Hormuz as its principal geopolitical lever — RealClearWorld excerpt: 'For decades, Iran has relied on the Strait of Hormuz as its most effective geopolitical weapon.'
• Washington has a plan to neutralise Iran's ability to use the strait as leverage; details unspecified — Supported by the RealClearWorld headline/title, but the plan's substance is not in the provided excerpt; the article appropriately flags the details as unspecified.
• Neither Washington nor Tehran appears to want open war — NZZ lede: 'einiges dafür, dass weder Washington noch Teheran den offenen Krieg wollen' — accurately paraphrased.
• Safe-haven flows typically strengthen the dollar and pressure emerging-market currencies — General analytical framing added by the article; not stated in any provided source, though it is conventional market reasoning.